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May 31, 2010.

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Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Hongguo's Fundamental & Intrinsic Value

Base on Q2, 2009 financial report:
  • PE = 5.8
  • Dividend Yield = 4.3%
  • NAV = $0.3438
  • Net Earning = 7.8% (12% in 2008)
  • Current Ratio = 3.72
  • ROA = 13.6% (Base on 2008 Full Year)
  • ROE = 18.5% (base on 2008 Full Year)
  • Cash Flow = S$46.3Million (103% increase with reference to 2008 Full Year)
 Stock Background 
  • 3 years historal high = $1.46
  • Current Price = $0.31 (only 21% of 3 years high)
 Intrinsic Value Calculation 
  • EPS Annual Growth = 12% (from 2004A to 2009F)
  • Discount Rate = 5%
  • Intrinsic Value = $0.73 (58% Discount of Current Price to Intrinsic Value)

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