My new site is finally up and I will be posting my stocks analysis at http://mystocksinvesting.com


Marubozu

May 31, 2010.

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Monday, August 17, 2009

Watch out for the volume change!

I get caught in a few occasions that my predictation using technical indicators went haywire when there were sudden drop trading volume. On Aug 6, everything looked good on this chart. The stock price breakout from consolidation and broke the resistance of $0.13 with 63.5M shares traded. The stock price was above 20D, 50D and 200D MA, at the upper Bollinger Band, on top of the Parabolic SAR, MACD confirmed bullish convergence, RSI & Stochastic were bullish. All Standard Six indicators showed bullish convergence and looked really good to enter the position. The next day the volume dropped to 14.2M shares and end up with a bearish marubozu candle. For the subsequent days, the volume getting lower and lower and out of the sudden the stock was losing momentum. Now I have to hold on this stock as a longer term investment.







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