Using Standard Six Technical Analysis Method to analyse the stock momentum.
- MACD - still bullish converge (bullish)
- Parabolic SAR - Stock price on top (bullish)
- Boilinger Band - at upper band (bullish)
- Moving Average (MA) - stock price above 20D, 50D, 200D MA lines.
- RSI - around 60 (less bullish)
- Stochastic - going to hit 80% (bullish)
The support level at $0.10 and $0.12. I think the downside possibility is minimal for a few reasons:
- The worst crisis has gone. Economy seems to have bottomed up and the fear factors are no longer there.
- The company expect to make profit again after in the red for so many quarters.
- The NAV (Net Asset Value) is $0.33. Current stock price is only $0.135 which is way below $0.33. (Layman term: if the company goes bankrupt and liquidated, you can get back $0.33 per share)
- The company is still generating positive cashflow base on Q109 financial result.
- Current Ratio is 1.2. Short term will not have any liquidity issue (layman term: the company will not go bankrupt)
WORST CASE: If all my Technical Analysis are wrong, I just keep the stock and wait for the price to go back to the fair value. I still be able to make money if I can hold the stock long enough.
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