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Marubozu

May 31, 2010.

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Monday, November 2, 2009

Goldman Sachs and Apple - Get Ready to Short!

I am preparing to short (buy PUT option) Goldman Sachs (GS) & Apple (AAPL) if the charts pattern are confirmed bearish.

Goldman Sachs (GS) appears to be forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. I am waiting for the right shoulder to be formed. The stock has been on the up trend since Mar 2009 and is due for a healthy correction. The 50D MA provides a very strong support line as the stock price bounced back twice in beginning of July and early Sept.



Things to watch out for GS:
  • Whether the right shoulder is formed?
  • Can the stock price breakdown the 50D MA support (probably concides with the neckline if H&S pattern is formed)?

Apple (AAPL) broke the 20D MA with a long bearish candle last Friday. The long term channel resistance which also coincides with its 50D MA trend line at about $185, is a critical support. Falling below this support could start the correction and see the price fall to $158.19 level (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level). Both MACD and RSI are bearish. MACD had confirmed its dead crossover and RSI broke its support trend line.



Things to watch out for AAPL:
  • Whether the stock price breakdown from the long term up trend channel resistance?
  • After the support is broken, whether AAPL can move back to the channel (i.e. the channel support become very strong resistance to prevent AAPL to move back to the channel)?

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